Impact Of Interest Rate On Real Estate And Housing Loan

Indian real estate firms expect a hit on margins for the next few quarters as the central bank’s move to raise interest rates this week will push up costs and keep potential buyers away from the market.
Developers, already facing a demand slowdown, have refused to lower the price line as they seek to make up profits despite high land costs and curbs on funding. However, higher interest rates in the economy could push them to choose survival over pride.
The Reserve Bank of India late on 24th June raised its key lending rate and cash reserve requirement by 50 basis points each to curb price pressures. Inflation jumped to its highest in more than 13 years in mid-June to 11.42 percent.
As a result, lending rates of banks are seen close to 13 percent, levels last seen nearly a decade ago, while interest rates on home loans could go up by 50-100 basis points, putting off a large segment of middle-class buyers.
Real estate prices had already started slackening, this move will lead to more slowdown,” said Ramesh Jogani, managing director at India REIT Fund Advisors, which has invested in several projects. “We see a 15-20 % fall in prices.”
Analysts say the slackening of demand is raising concern over future realizations, which is reflected in the performance of real estate stocks, with most close to their lowest level in a year and 40-60 % off their peaks.
“In the near term, we think affordability will be a bigger driver and a 20% correction in property prices will be needed by the year end to revive volumes,” UBS Investment said in a research note.

2 Comments

  1. Posted July 1, 2008 at 5:24 am | Permalink

    Rising interest rates and a falling demand may dent the realty market in India. However, the long-term prospects for the sector continue to be good, feels the industry. There are around 21 India-dedicated real estate funds that are raising money in the international market. In the next nine months, nearly $7 billion will be entering the country through various India-dedicated funds. While long-term players are looking at India, short-term players based in the US and Europe, such as the hedge funds and private equity players, are more interested in their local markets.For more view- realtydigest.blogspot.com

  2. Posted July 31, 2008 at 5:38 am | Permalink

    yes that is true but is that possible that interest of Loan against property will be down in near future which is to be good for all the person ?

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